Investment market trend judgment (applicable to stock market, futures, foreign exchange, investment commodities)four point

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trend judgment

The trend of the market is the direction in which the market is currently running. If you want to make a profit in the stock market, you must be guided by the current situation of the market itself, rather than guessing how the market should go in the future. When the direction of the market does not operate according to the conditions we set, the only reason is that our judgment is wrong. Therefore, any trading system can only follow the fact that the market has happened or is happening in front of the stock market, rather than the assumption that the system thinks it should happen.trend judgment

The key point of investing in stocks is to look at the current situation of the stock market, and the current situation will never change, but only when the current market situation is consistent with your planned investment strategy, can you understand. Otherwise, it is easy to be disturbed by human fear or greed, so just operate with the trend and follow the footsteps of the market, so that we will always know what to invest, what direction, when to enter and when to make a profit.

Therefore, in the face of any assumptions or ifs, the current trend of the stock market is like a magic mirror, which completely hides your mistakes. Your only solution is to admit your mistakes and immediately stop the loss and exit the market. So as not to cause irreparable harm to your investment.


目標價是意圖trend judgment

目標價是意圖

trend judgment

energy structure(trend judgment)

in this bookThe so-called energy structure refers to thestock marketThe investors included in the trading volume can be roughly divided into investment institutions, official stock legal persons, self-employed traders, fund investment companies, large investors, and retail investors in the stock market. They are subdivided into individual stock components and even include company shareholders and investors business.

The volume-price relationship mentioned in the previous chapters, the volume is the so-called transaction volume, the most important thing in the capital market is the injection of funds, so a large amount of transaction value near the key position of the stock price is what we must pay attention to place.trend judgment

Generally speaking, it is the time when some main players in the market are preparing to ship or purchase goods. Some people will ask how to judge the follow-up actions of the main force. Simply put, you can observe whether the key position is effectively broken or broken. Judge the trend of the follow-up market. In any investment market, the most important thing is the injection of funds. We often hear a saying that there is a price only when there is quantity. In other words, the rotation of various investment commodities is like the trend of water flow, and funds are the driving force to promote investment commodities. However, what we have to do is to find the direction of water flow and operate according to the trend to enlarge our profit target.

量價結構分析圖

量價結構分析圖

The chips for the main force to enter or ship are usually not established on the same day or in the same week. For ordinary investors, it is also the part that must enter the market in batches to build their own positions. Strictly set stop loss and stop profit points, let yourself Funds are allocated most efficiently. When the market trend starts to run for sure and is consistent with your trading plan, profits will naturally follow the market. Therefore, observing the volume and energy structure of key positions in the stock market is like a bottom line. It only needs to focus on one thing, and that is what to do to make a profit. Investing is to make a profit. The most important thing in the stock market is to make a profit every day, and the most basic factor that determines the market is the price, soThe trend of the market is closely related to the stock price.


Cost line judgment(trend judgment)


The so-called cost line is simply the average price of the stock price at a key position. When the stock price is running, there is a large trading volume or aBreakout, gap, long red or long black signal.At this time, it is necessary to pay special attention to the average value of the stock price in this range, and use this price as a reference index for subsequent stock price operations. When the trading volume of the stock is larger, it means that the structural factors of volume and energy added during this period are more important, especially in the weekly chart, which is very likely to be a signal that the main force of the market is trying to make the next attack on the stock price. When your trading cycle is a long-term investment, you can use the long-term cost line as the cost price of the position. During the subsequent stock price operation, observe the mid-term cost line as the basis for increasing or decreasing the position.

In the stock market, the cost line is also divided into long-term, medium-term and short-term costs, which represent different meanings, mainly because the holders have different plans for their own stock investment and expectations for profit. The so-called main cost line is also the most important driving force for the stock price direction. Being able to effectively judge the cost line can help you choose the right direction, increase the winning rate and profit of stock investment, and follow the mainstream direction of the market, which is the basis for investors to make long-term profits.

Before drawing up a trading plan, investors must first clearly tell themselves that your current trading cycle is set, and only then can you set the capital allocation ratio, detailed trading plan, and operate according to the cost line of the trading cycle according to the trading cycle you set. It is the correct process. Remember that the situation of looking long and short, or short and long cannot happen. When the stock price is running, it is easy to cause your trading plan to be unable to be effectively implemented due to temporary price fluctuations.

交易週期

交易週期

trend judgment


標籤

亞當理論, 交易, 台股, 投資, 獲利, 股價, 股市, 趨勢分析, 配股


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投資小叮嚀

順勢操作切記別跟市場做對

01

當股價站上成本線方可順勢加碼操作,切記不要加碼攤平

02

注意盤勢的量價關係,當出現新的類型時務必重新規劃交易計劃

03

當股價跌破成本線或重要支撐點時,重點調整持股,重新規劃交易

常問問題

何謂量價關係

量,指的是一檔期貨商品單位時間的成交量,其中包含有日成交量,月成交量,年成交量等;價,指的是一檔期貨商品的價格,以收盤價為準,還有開盤價,最高價以及最低價。

何謂主力成本線

當股價在關鍵位置出現突破、跳空、長紅或是長黑時,且出現大額成交量時,可以視為主力將來的企圖,簡單來說就是商品價格在關鍵位置的平均價格。

何謂市場趨勢

市場的趨勢,就是市場當前正在運行的方向。

何謂量價結構

所謂的量能結構就是指在股票市場的成交量裡面所包含的投資者,在股票市場上大致可以區分為投資機構、官股法人、自營商、基金投資公司、大型投資人以及散戶等。

何謂交易計劃

一個完整的交易計劃內容包含以下幾個重點:交易周期、資金分配、進場時機、停損或是停利點。

何謂交易週期

所謂的交易周期主要區分為日線交易、週線交易、月線交易。三者區別在於交易周期時間的長短。

何謂資金分配

資金分配最重要的是能夠穩妥的降低投資的風險,投資首要的工作就是先求保本再追求獲利。

何謂進場時機

進場時機,通常依據主力成本線量能的表態後,明確出趨勢的方向才開始規劃。

停損設定的重要性

投資首要工作就是嚴格控制風險,規劃進場的同時也要明確地制定停損出場的時機,當局勢並未按照你的交易計劃同步運行時,立即執行,方能長期保持大賺小賠的獲利模式。

停止利設定的重要性

本網站中一直強調絕不預設立場讓市場決定一切。我們在進場前所能夠做的就是規劃好自己的交易計劃並且確實執行,真實的商品市場裡面永遠存在著不可預知的未來與風險,沒有人能夠提前預知未來的走勢,順著當下投資市場的實際走勢才是我們最簡單也是最單純的操作方式。

如何調整持倉比例

持倉比例的多寡對於投資報酬率以及投資風險的高低,有著密不可分的關係,所以投資持倉的比例往往也是風險管理中重要的一環。如何去掌握持倉比例,首先可以依照自己內心的感覺去衡量,如果當前這筆投資金額會讓你覺得沉重,請你立刻停止加大持倉的部位。

何謂亞當交易守則

  • 賠錢的部位絕不要加碼「攤平」。
  • 買進或加碼操作時,絕不能不設判斷錯誤時的停損點。
  • 絕不要取消或移動出場點,除非是往你操作的方向移動。
  • 絕不要讓賠小錢演變成重大損失。情況不對立刻出場,保留資金,改日再戰。
  • 一次操作或一天之內絕不虧損超過 10%。
  • 別試著猜頭摸底,讓頭部和底部自己出現。
  • 別站在火車前面。如果大盤出現爆發性走勢,不要和它作對,除非有明顯的證據顯示已經開始轉向了(不是即將或是應該,而是已經轉向)。
  • 保持靈活度。請記住,你可能會錯,亞當理論也可能會錯,世界上任何東西都會偶爾出錯。要記住,亞當理論所討論的,是可能性高的事,不是絕對確定的事。
  • 虧損時,請出場。如果你一直虧損,請認賠出場,暫時遠離市場。讓情緒冷靜下來、讓頭腦恢復理智。
  • 請問問自己,是不是真的想在市場上賺錢,然後仔細聽聽你的答案。有些人的內心想要賠錢,或者只是想玩刺激的東西。請了解自己

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